Colorado Legislature Colorado Politics Content election Election 2018 Jared Polis Local Politics National Politics Politics The Spot Walker Stapleton

“Stunning” turnout by Colorado’s unaffiliated voters, a poll in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional race and more Colorado politics news – The Denver Post

“Stunning” turnout by Colorado’s unaffiliated voters, a poll in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional race and more Colorado politics news – The Denver Post

So, that is it: 656 days after former state Sen. Mike Johnston primarily kicked off the 2018 election cycle by saying his gubernatorial bid, we’ve got lower than a week left till ballots are counted.

The subsequent six days are going to go by quick. Right here’s what campaigns are as much as — a lot of which Denver Post journalists shall be overlaying:

  • The Democrats are dominating at barnstorming the state. Tweet after tweet after tweet exhibits massive crowds for the statewide bus tour headlined by gubernatorial candidate Jared Polis. The bus tour, which kicked off on the Western Slope, wraps up this weekend in the metro space with a give attention to turning out communities of colour. There may also be a cease at Broncos Stadium at Mile Excessive for a tailgate social gathering.
  • In the meantime, Republican gubernatorial candidate Walker Stapleton has been hustling, too. Immediately, he’s planning stops from Grand Junction to Greeley on a tour by aircraft with U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner. On Saturday, his marketing campaign says he’ll zip up and down Interstate 25, with stops deliberate from Fort Collins to Elbert County.
  • Republican Rep. Mike Coffman is closing out his marketing campaign for Colorado’s sixth Congressional District at church. Relatively than knock on doorways, the incumbent Aurora Republican plans to attend spiritual providers at totally different homes of worship in his district.
  • His challenger, Democrat Jason Crow, has packed his schedule with get out the vote rallies, door knocking and telephone calls aimed toward securing each final vote he can. Up to now Coffman has overperformed the polls and defeated 5 Democratic challengers, so Crow’s marketing campaign says they’re taking nothing without any consideration.

A programing notice of our personal: That is our final publication earlier than the election. However you possibly can keep updated with all of the news in our Fb group, the place you will discover new politics tales first. Additionally, subsequent week’s Spot will probably be delivered very first thing Wednesday with the newest outcomes and unique evaluation.

As all the time, please encourage your folks and colleagues to subscribe to The Spot! And when you’re already receiving The Spot, take the subsequent step and turn out to be a Denver Post digital subscriber. Your month-to-month subscriptions assist maintain the news coming!

See you on the marketing campaign path! — Nic


AAron Ontiveroz, The Denver Post

Christian Legarreta rings a doorbell, whereas canvasing for the New People Victory Fund on Wednesday. Legarreta and different paid canvassers walked the neighborhood to ask whether or not voters would vote for Religion Winters or Beth Martinez Humenik in their battle for a state Senate seat. (Photograph by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)

Democrats — and some Republicans — are courting the Latino vote. Right here’s how.

An immigrant rights group led a main push to get more Latinos to vote in this election final week. It’s only one instance of how Democrats are hoping to reverse a nationwide development of low Latino participation throughout midterm elections. Proceed studying right here

Countdown

5 days till Election Day.

Your political must-reads

  • Two new polls recommend Polis is heading to the governor’s mansion. Denver Post
  • What would occur if the Democrats take complete management of state authorities? Denver Post
  • Gov. John Hickenlooper, in a New Hampshire diner, stated he’s operating for president, … and then stated he hadn’t made up his thoughts but. Denver Post
  • Will Colorado educators who have been politically invigorated by final spring’s instructor walkouts assist push by way of a main statewide tax improve for faculties and usher candidates from inside their very own ranks into workplace? Denver Post
  • Some 50 hearth districts throughout Colorado are asking voters for a workaround to the Gallagher Modification. “We’re way past the crisis point,” West Metro Hearth Chief Don Lombardi stated. Denver Post
  • Colorado voters are getting bombarded with hundreds of thousands of dollars more in last-minute outdoors spending. Denver Post
  • In Colorado, ladies determine shut elections. Denver Post
  • In waning days on the marketing campaign path, AG candidates duke it out over outdoors advertisements. CPR
  • FiveThirtyEight says Colorado’s state elections are probably the most essential no one is taking note of. 538
  • Can Colorado save America? This author hopes so. NY Occasions
  • Right here’s a take a look at the yawning divide that explains American politics. WSJ
  • A dozen younger individuals clarify why they aren’t voting in the midterm election. NY Journal
  • Peggy Noonan: Politicians in each events want to wash up their very own aspect of the road. WSJ
  • As former President Barack Obama crisscrosses the nation in help of Democratic candidates, nerves are rattling amongst his coalition. Do they struggle hearth with hearth? NY Occasions

Marketing campaign Diary

Poll tracker: “Stunning” returns from unaffiliated voters

About one-third of Colorado’s three.2 million voters have returned their ballots as of Thursday morning, in accordance with the Secretary of State’s workplace. And whereas we must be cautious about extrapolating something from the returns, there’s one knowledge level that caught our eye from an evaluation offered by Republican polling agency Magellan Methods.

Whereas unaffiliated voters have returned fewer ballots than both Democrats or Republicans, they’ve returned more ballots than both celebration in contrast so far in time throughout our final midterm election. Unaffiliated voters have returned almost 67,000 more ballots this cycle. Democrats have returned about 43,000 more ballots than 2014. In the meantime, Republicans have returned 51,000 fewer ballots.

“It’s stunning,” stated David Flaherty, Magellan’s CEO.

Whereas this development has by no means been seen earlier than in Colorado, Flaherty stated it won’t be too shocking given the rise in unaffiliated voter registration.

“They’ve been growing,” he stated. “And they’re staying unaffiliated longer into their older age groups. The story of the 2018 election might be that the unaffiliated voters are making their voices heard.”

As for the dismal returns from the GOP, Flaherty stated: “Are they sitting on the ballots? Perhaps. There’s a lot of pressure in turnout on the GOP side to shore that up. You just can’t ignore that. It’s tough to win as a Republican if those trends hold.”

What’s on the minds of Colorado voters?

Denver Post multimedia producer Amy Brothers and I ended by a Jefferson County sports activities bar to ask voters what points mattered most to them. Right here’s what we heard.

Lastly, a public poll in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District, however you in all probability shouldn’t learn an excessive amount of into it

By Anna Staver

The solely public poll on the race to symbolize Colorado’s Western Slope in Congress exhibits Republican Rep. Scott Tipton defeating Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush by 15 factors. However there’s a huge “but.”

The poll from Change Analysis was carried out from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29 and confirmed voters re-electing Tipton 53 % to 38 %.

If Change Analysis is true about Colorado’s Third Congressional District, then Tipton would primarily be repeating his 2016 election night time efficiency in which he defeated his Democratic challenger 55 to 40 %. And he would carry out three factors higher in 2018 than President Donald Trump did in the district in 2016.

Right here’s that however: The poll didn’t confirm that the individuals it surveyed — largely by means of social media — have been truly registered voters in the district. The firm relied on the individuals taking the survey to self-report their registration. One other drawback is that 39 % of respondents stated they have been Republican, nicely above the 34 % of registered Republicans in the 3rd.

“We need innovation in polling, and they are trying something new, and I think that’s good thing,” International Technique Group Senior Vice President Andrew Baumann stated. “But any poll that doesn’t match the people to the voter rolls should be taken with several grains of salt.”

The nightmare earlier than Election Day

The Polis for Colorado employees had some Halloween enjoyable dressing up as their boss. The crew donned Polis’ signature tucked-in Polo shirt and tennis footwear. Some wore ties. The marketing campaign tweeted out the photograph on Halloween, encouraging followers to forged their votes.

Polis For Colorado

The Stapleton marketing campaign and his GOP allies had their very own strategy to Halloween on Wednesday. Stapleton tweeted: “Congressman Polis as our next Governor? That’s scary!” And in an e-mail to reporters, a GOP spokesman referred to as Polis’ well being care proposal “hocus pocus,” and included this gif from one of the best Halloween film ever created:

Gardner’s favorability score is decrease than Trump’s

Earlier immediately, we reported on two new polls out on the governor’s race. Buried in one of many polls is a quantity that we need to spotlight right here: 11. That’s unfold between Sen. Cory Gardner’s favorability score and President Donald Trump’s amongst Colorado Republicans. Meaning Gardner, who has tried to painting himself as a average voice in Trump’s Washington, is much less in style amongst his personal political base. Sure, it’s only one poll, however coupled with different proof of Trump’s stronghold on the GOP it makes you ponder whether Colorado’s model of conservatism Gardner symbolizes has a lot of a future.

Oil and fuel to Colorado: “You can’t sit with us”

Colorado journalists and the general public discovered Wednesday that the large cash behind the No on 112 committee is holding its Election Night time celebration on the Hyatt Regency. However no media might be allowed in. Tim Wieland, CBS4’s new director, stated it greatest on Twitter:

A second of civility on Colorado’s marketing campaign path

The political rhetoric has been heating up throughout America. And the rash of tried assassinations on Democratic leaders and the mass capturing at a Pittsburgh synagogue definitely didn’t assist. That’s what makes this second captured on Twitter between state Rep. Jeff Bridges, and his opponent for an Arapahoe County seat in the statehouse, Toren Mushovic, a lot more significant.